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Is electoral system about to inflict injustice on Tories?

Michael Crick | 14:19 UK time, Wednesday, 7 April 2010

On the day that Labour - once again - promises a referendum on electoral reform, it's worth speculating why hardly any prominent Conservatives support changing the voting system.

Many Labour people were converted to proportional representation (PR) by the party's four successive election defeats between 1979 and 1992. And yet the Conservatives three defeats since 1997 haven't had a similar effect on them.

This is all the more surprising when quite a few prominent Tories did support PR when the party was previously in opposition during the 1970s. Among them, I recall, was Douglas Hurd. But then during the Thatcher years support for PR died out almost completely in the Conservative Party, and now has become very unfashionable.

I was talking recently to a prominent member of the Shadow Cabinet, who clearly does support PR, but realises it would do him no good to say so publicly. This senior Conservative even pointed out that the Tories in Scotland and Wales have only really survived these last few years thanks to the fact that the Scottish and Welsh assemblies are elected by PR.

This has given the Tories a lifeline of representation in Scotland and Wales, when they might have ended up with very few seats - or perhaps none at all - under the old first past the post system.

Now the British electoral system may be on the point of inficting a huge injustice on the Conservatives. It's quite possible that the Tories get substantially more votes than Labour at this election, but still get fewer seats.

If that happens Britain could end up with a far bigger row than Florida in 2000. And in such circumstances would the Conservatives still be so resolute in backing first past the post?

Comments

  • Comment number 1.

    How we can call ourselves a democracy using this insane FPTP system is beyond me. You may well be proved right in this Michael, the Tories could end up with millions more votes than Labour but end up with fewer seats. Talk about shooting yourself in the foot. What angers me most is that millions of votes in this election will be meaningless. Millions are disenfranchised because of the system, surely this cannot be described as democracy?

  • Comment number 2.

    I was asked if we really want 16 yr olds to vote? Do they even want to?

    So I asked my two 13 year olds, home for the hols.

    Turns out they did have a view.

    Yesterday some LibDems in the street gave 'em balloons. Hence... got their vote.

    I am sure in 3 years there will a great difference in thinking. Well, maybe not thinking but expected 'reward'.

    Were I only co-funding public sector and new citizen balloons.

  • Comment number 3.

    You don't have to be a pro-PR Tory to get a fairer voting system.

    It should be possible for first-past-the-post to work. If you get the seats and boundaries right, then FPTP should reflect the proportion of votes cast.

    But the system has been skewed in the last few elections, mainly because the Boundary Commission works at such a glacial pace.

  • Comment number 4.

    what about the electoral system inflicting injustice on the british people?

    can we elect the head of state? All members of the legislature? do we have a written constitution? a national oath that protects the rights of the people? Afghanistan and Iraq have wider democracy than we do.

    yet to have the same system here would be illegal and break treason laws even to talk about it.

    what we call democracy is nothing but a cartel for a class of oligarch. democracy in the uk is unfinished business.

  • Comment number 5.

    most European country's have some form of PR, why are we so different? Why do we think we are always right? I believe that if we had PR we would never have had the Iraq war or gone into Afghanistan as too many members would have had doubts....

  • Comment number 6.

    I understand, via @Βι¶ΉΤΌΕΔLauraK, that Mr. Brown might be 'open to working with other parties'.

    Too much to hope before committing to that 'x', who might be keen to reciprocate?

    It seems... pertinent.

  • Comment number 7.

    THE WESTMINSTER ETHOS IS THE ENEMY

    The electoral system is a typical tentacle of Westminster. No one should be fooled - within that Palace ALL manifestations are unsavoury. All parties connive at iniquity. Parties want POWER far more than they want decency or democracy. MPs sign up to the party and Westminster Ethos, conniving and coveting in their turn.

    ANY PARTICIPANT who does not rise up in an appalled reflex, at the goings-on in Westminster is fool or knave. The only freedom I would grant them is a choice of those two.

  • Comment number 8.

    VOTER COMPETENCE (#2)

    A spaceman watching our response to commercial advertising of 'stuff' would note in hs log: "The species does not reach maturity before end of natural span." Turning to the election lead-up, he would note: "Reference immaturity, the political parties have realised the voters will fall for expensive advertising EXACTLY AS USED TO SELL THEM 'STUFF'." The planet is not worth visiting.

    As for lowering the voting age to 16 (of our Earth years) - apart from, possibly, requiring an even larger advertising budget, by all parties, what is 16 compared to the manifest average age of our population?

  • Comment number 9.

    will there be the usual vote rigging 'that would disgrace a banana republic'?

    ...Labour activists had 'vote-rigging factory' to hijack postal votes...

  • Comment number 10.

    Change the system - Our democracy needs a shot of adrenalin.
    1 give voters one vote for the party and one for the representative
    2 share out the votes in parliament are according to the overall party percentage of votes, rather than their MPs. Each MP gets an equal share of his party’s vote.
    This gives us PR government at a stroke, without multi-membership constituencies or party/regional lists, or necessarily changing constituency boundaries at all.
    It also gets rid of safe seats and marginal constituencies. Literally every vote counts.
    When it comes to selecting your MP you can focus on the best, most competent candidate, rather than the party label.
    Did you realise the solution could be so simple?

  • Comment number 11.

    Michael Crick's concern with the unfairness of the electoral system for the Conservatives has a strangely narrow focus.

    Reference to the Βι¶ΉΤΌΕΔ's predictor shows that if the main parties all attract around a third of the votes each (which seems likely from current polls), Labour would 'win' over a hundred seats more than the Conservatives, and the Conservatives over a hundred more than the LibDems.

    In the present situation, this is not just slightly unfair to the Conservatives, but massively unjust to the British electorate. If Michael Portillo is wrong, and this system survives beyond the coming election, it can only bring our political system into even more disrepute than it has suffered so far.

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