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Climate change and using statistics to predict football results.

A four-year bet between two scientists about climate change is settled. Plus, a sports statistician attempts to predict the results of the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations. Tim Harford presents.

CLIMATE CHANGE
A four-year bet between two scientists about global warming is settled.

In 2008, after there had been no new record for the global average temperature since 1998, David Whitehouse and James Annan disagreed over whether there would be a new record set by 2011.

As the UK Meteorological Office publishes the figures for the past year, presenter Tim Harford bring the two scientists together.

Who has won, and does the victory tell us anything about global warming?

Plus, Peter Stott from the Met Office tells us how the world’s temperature is measured.

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS
Sports statistician Robert Mastrodomenico attempts to predict the results of the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations football tournament.

Will his numerical analysis impress the Βι¶ΉΤΌΕΔ's African football expert Farayi Mungazi in Gabon?

Producer: Ruth Alexander

(Image: Dried up river bed near Lodwar, Kenya. Credit: Getty Images)

Available now

9 minutes

Last on

Sat 21 Jan 2012 18:50GMT

Broadcasts

  • Fri 20 Jan 2012 23:50GMT
  • Sat 21 Jan 2012 11:50GMT
  • Sat 21 Jan 2012 18:50GMT

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