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China to invade Taiwan?

• Message 1.Β 

  Posted by dovergunner (U2879723) on Friday, 21st April 2006

  What would be the response if the China invaded the island of Taiwen, what would be the USA do, Not sure whether they would get involed.

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• Message 2

  , in reply to message 1.

  Posted by Dirk Marinus (U1648073) on Friday, 21st April 2006

  That is a question which is worrying quite a few of the politicians?
  
  Somehow I don't think that the US will just stand by and look at it.
  
  But what will be the result if they and other countries will get involved.
  
  Another big question you could ask is what would be Russia's response?

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• Message 3

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  Posted by Richie (U1238064) on Friday, 21st April 2006

  bit of a flipant answer sorry, but tonight my time is short.
  
  Short answer: America would saber rattle, but in the long term no major stategic goal would be acheived by their coming to the Taiwanese state's aid.
  
  Taiwan is the wrong end of a long supply chain and regardless of how competant the US Navy is China is simply only a matter of miles from the island. China is also in the long term a more major trading partner than the Rep of China and the US would not really be losing anything, just changing the maps slightly.
  
  I do beleive that the US would saber rattle, and I agree with the other poster that the more pertant question would be what would the response be of Japan, Russia and the Korea's

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• Message 4

  , in reply to message 3.

  Posted by marduk-slayer of tiamat (U2258525) on Friday, 21st April 2006

  the japs would get their "ssdf" to bring out their super-secret "not-army" warfare technology, revolving around nuclear mutant, giant moths and 100 foot tall robots with big guns and force fields, and stomp over there!
  
  
  

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• Message 5

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  Posted by cmedog47 (U3614178) on Saturday, 22nd April 2006

  I hope we never find out.
  
  But consider, can China afford to threaten it's trade with the US. As a "trading partner" with the US, China is a one-side partner selling far far more to the US than it buys.
  
  Speechifying: I just wish this silly business of China having the entire world bullied into pretending Taiwan is not a country would stop. It has run it's affairs without Beijing for 67 years now. It is time for people to stop kowtowing to this malarky
  
  Kurt

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• Message 6

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  Posted by Grand Falcon Railroad (U3267675) on Saturday, 22nd April 2006

  China currently supports the US govt. to the tune of some $200bn in trade defecits - China could bring down the nation if it asked for the US Tres. to repay them early...pretty worrying.

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• Message 7

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  Posted by Mr Pedant (U2464726) on Saturday, 22nd April 2006

  Neither China's navy or airforce are anything special and it's a big expanse of sea between the two.
  
  Add together a large Taiwanese army, well prepared together with a fair navy and airforce and the Chinese could easily fail without any outside intervention.
  
  IMO anyway.

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• Message 8

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  Posted by cmedog47 (U3614178) on Saturday, 22nd April 2006

  NewFalcon
  
  US Treasuries are not callable and the trade deficit is a cash flow in the direction China from the US, not the other way around. War would adversely impact the US in that China would not be buying additional treasuries obviously but the impact on China in the immediate loss of the US market to which to sell would be much greater. China is dependent on that trade to survive as she is a food and oil importer and needs hard currency with which to pay.
  
  Kurt

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• Message 9

  , in reply to message 7.

  Posted by Richie (U1238064) on Saturday, 22nd April 2006

  Neither China's navy or airforce are anything special and it's a big expanse of sea between the two.
  
  Add together a large Taiwanese army, well prepared together with a fair navy and airforce and the Chinese could easily fail without any outside intervention.
  
  IMO anyway.Β 
  
  your forgetting the rather large number of Chinese missiles pointing in the direction of taiwan. If you remove the US Navy from the equation (purely politically not militarily) and then numbers also come into play. While the PLAA and PLAN are nothing special they are numerous. A missile barrage would remove large chunks of the Taiwan defences leaving little for the PLAA and PLAN to mop up.
  
  This is why the Chinese are putting so many missiles in place and why the Taiwanese are so worried about it

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• Message 10

  , in reply to message 9.

  Posted by SlackBabbath (U2776023) on Saturday, 22nd April 2006

  Just a thought, did China say a dickie bird when the US went hunting for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq ?? Why should the US raise more than an eyebrow if China decides to invade Taiwan ?? Was anything said/done about Nicuragua ?? In other words who cares ????????

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