ΒιΆΉΤΌΕΔ

ΒιΆΉΤΌΕΔ BLOGS - Mark Mardell's Euroblog
Β« Previous | Main | Next Β»

Europe's dynamic duo - or the blunder brothers?

Mark Mardell | 16:11 UK time, Tuesday, 15 April 2008

When Berlusconi was Prime Minister of Italy before, he wasn’t always loved by his fellow European leaders.
Silvio Berlusconi and Nicolas Sarkozy

disgusted many.

At European summits, he was rumoured to go shopping in Brussels’ upmarket antique shops when the meetings got too dull.

Aside from his ally in support of the Iraq War and , he hadn’t many friends. But this time around, will he have a bosom buddy?

Think of this.

A flamboyant, conservative, shoots-from-the-hip pro American, accused of manipulating the media and coming out with asides that shock the more delicate of his countrymen.

The new prime minister of Italy, of course. And also the newish president of France.
Tony Blair and Silvio Berlusconi
A dynamic duo: both, you could say, short and to-the-point. Nicolas Sarkozy was just another cabinet minister when Berlusconi last strutted the European stage, but the two are said to get on extremely well.

Mr Sarkozy

Diplomats in European capitals are scratching their heads, trying to work out how these two little men with big personalities change the dynamics in Europe. For it is beyond doubt that Berlusconi’s election does change things.

It is impossible to predict, but will be interesting to observe, whether these two similar personalities will clash or complement each other.

Will they be searching for the most outrageous soundbite, furious if one upstages the other? Or will they slap each other on the back and join forces?

An early summit between the two is on the cards; certainly there is a lot to discuss.

Atlanticists

Behind the stylistic similarities and eccentricities, they are both Atlanticists and both conservatives, with a stronger belief in the national interest.
Silvio Berlusconi at a campaign rally

The biggest and most important European countries now all have leaders who believe in strong ties with America. The wound of Iraq is fading.

If a Democrat wins the US elections, the relationship with Europe is likely to become stronger and easier still. Then there is always Iran.

Berlusconi is likely to be a supporter of France playing a fuller role in Nato and could give important backing to France’s vision of a new, bolder European defence initiative, particularly one that is about organisation rather than boots on the ground, or rather helicopters in the sky.

Italy and France both suffer budget deficits and a serious problem of consumer confidence because of rising prices.

Mr Sarkozy may find a new ally in beating up the European Central Bank and calling for it to take a more political, and less purist approach.

He is certainly likely to find an ally against the commission’s desire to make the common European market a protection-free zone.

°Υ³σ±π°ω±π’s .

Italy already strongly backs it but Mr Berlusconi will give it more visibility and perhaps have some interesting views on those on the other side of β€œOur Sea” as the Romans called the Med.

Incendiary peacocks

For concern about immigration from North Africa is going to be another area of common policy concern, for his policy of amnesties.

Italy will now add its voice to those big European countries who want the president of the European Council, set up by the Lisbon treaty, to be something of a counterweight to the European Commission, a figure on the world stage.

Mr Sarkozy has already proposed Tony Blair and it is inconceivable that Mr Berlusconi wouldn’t back his old friend if he wanted to throw his hat in the ring.

All eyes will be on Mr Berlusconi at the June summit. Sometimes we bemoan the lack of big personalities to bring European politics to life.

Now we have a pair of peacocks with incendiary ideas. The relatively colourless Ms Merkel and Mr Brown will be watching and biting their nails.

°δ΄Η³Ύ³Ύ±π²Τ³Ω²υΜύΜύ Post your comment

  • 1.
  • At 05:35 PM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • Andy wrote:

Thanks Mark for you analysis, straight to the point, as always.

People have been very quick in casting a light of ridicule on Berlusconi, like he is just a clown and doesn't count for nothing apart from Italy.

But Italy is still the 7th country in the world, the third in the Euro zone; chaotic and corrupt as it might seem, it counts.

And Berlusconi has no problems in taking a hard stance when he doesn't like something; he is a protectionist, a hard conservative. He will get along well with Sarkozy and they will back each other up.

I predict that the english will be the first not to like their attitude. And Spain's Zapatero will be the first to be cut off.

If Angela Merkel falls in thier trap then it will be a hard period for liberals and democrats in Europe.
Beware, those two can work damage on Europe; we may believe they are not influential but so we believed of Mussolini.

  • 2.
  • At 05:44 PM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • Adelaide Ajroldi wrote:

I am trying very hard to cope with the fact of having 'Berlusca' destroying Italy for the next 5 years... Perhaps he will follow the example of his pal Sarko and marry a model... I would love to see Naomy Campbell towering over him and telling him off during an official ceremony ;-)

  • 3.
  • At 06:25 PM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • Giacomo Dorigo wrote:

let's hope Berlusconi will not sell Germany to Russia...

This post is closed to new comments.

ΒιΆΉΤΌΕΔ iD

ΒιΆΉΤΌΕΔ navigation

ΒιΆΉΤΌΕΔ Β© 2014 The ΒιΆΉΤΌΕΔ is not responsible for the content of external sites. Read more.

This page is best viewed in an up-to-date web browser with style sheets (CSS) enabled. While you will be able to view the content of this page in your current browser, you will not be able to get the full visual experience. Please consider upgrading your browser software or enabling style sheets (CSS) if you are able to do so.